POSSIBILITY OF WINTRY PRECIP TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. EVEN THOUGH MANY LOCATIONS HAVE ALREADY REACHED OR ARE
NEAR AVERAGE LAST FREEZE DATES WINTER WEATHER CAN STILL HAPPEN IN
THIS REGION THIS LATE IN THE SEASON. NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING TEMPS
ARE LIKELY NORTH OF A KOSA-KELD LINE. MORE NLY COMPONENT TO LOW
LVL WINDS STILL KEEP CONFIDENCE HIGHER IN COLD AIR DAMMING BY THE
OUACHITAS TO THE NORTH. HOWEVER...ENOUGH COLD AIR SHOULD FILTER INTO
SRN AR TO SUPPORT A LIGHT MIX OF RAIN...SLEET...AND SNOW. BESIDES
THE ISSUE OF HAVING ENOUGH COLD AIR TO SUPPORT WINTRY PRECIP
TYPES...THERE IS STILL A QUESTION REGARDING IF THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
MOISTURE IN THE AREA FOR PRECIP. MODELS MAINTAIN SOME LIGHT QPF
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HRS SO WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE FCST. IF WINTRY PRECIP DOES OCCUR...IMPACTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MINIMAL.
TEMPS SHOULD QUICKLY REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S AREAWIDE BY TUESDAY
DUE TO STRONG SLY FLOW AND WAA AHEAD OF THE NEXT FAST MOVING FRONT
DUE TO ARRIVE LATE TUESDAY. ECMWF STILL FCSTING QPF WITH THIS
FRONT BUT DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH TIME FOR SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE RETURN TO SUPPORT ANY RAIN CHANCES. TEMPS MAY BE KNOCKED
BACK DOWN BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES BUT SHOULD REMAIN NEAR OR ABOVE
CLIMO THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST PERIOD. NEXT SIGNIFICANT
CHANCES FOR RAIN NOT EXPECTED UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND. /09/